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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

League One · Matchweek 14

Leyton Orient

LEY

Cambridge United

CAM

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Leyton Orient49%
Draw25%
Cambridge25%

Expected goals

1.69 – 1.16

Over 2.5

53%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.5%
  • 1–010.3%
  • 2–19.6%
  • 2–08.0%
  • 0–16.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Leyton Orient will have the ball; Cambridge will not mind.

54%Possession44%
34%Territory35%
38%From set plays26%
0.08Chance quality0.12
3.8%Directness7.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Leyton Orient, 4 for Cambridge. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 72 matches, not the full season.