League One · Matchweek 13
Notts County
NOT
Stockport County
STO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Notts County26%
Draw26%
Stockport County48%
Expected goals
1.13 – 1.59
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 0–111.0%
- 1–29.4%
- 0–28.0%
- 0–07.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Stockport County will have the ball; Notts County will not mind.
44%Possession54%
29%Territory31%
35%From set plays36%
0.09Chance quality0.12
4.0%Directness4.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Notts County, 3 for Stockport County. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Notts County
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 72 matches, not the full season.