League One · Matchweek 12
Reading
REA
Leyton Orient
LEY
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Reading55%
Draw24%
Leyton Orient21%
Expected goals
1.88 – 1.11
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.6%
- 1–010.1%
- 2–19.9%
- 2–08.8%
- 3–16.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Leyton Orient get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
48%Possession54%
29%Territory34%
23%From set plays38%
0.15Chance quality0.08
5.4%Directness3.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Reading, 3 for Leyton Orient. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 72 matches, not the full season.