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League One · Matchweek 11

Plymouth Argyle

PLY

Huddersfield Town

HUD

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Plymouth37%
Draw27%
Huddersfield36%

Expected goals

1.47 – 1.45

Over 2.5

55%

Both to score

60%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.7%
  • 218.3%
  • 108.3%
  • 128.2%
  • 018.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Huddersfield will have the ball; Plymouth will not mind.

39%Possession53%
44%Territory36%
31%From set plays33%
0.12Chance quality0.12
9.0%Directness4.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Plymouth, 4 for Huddersfield. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 72 matches, not the full season.