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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

League One · Matchweek 11

Leyton Orient

LEY

Blackpool

BLA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Leyton Orient49%
Draw25%
Blackpool26%

Expected goals

1.69 – 1.20

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.4%
  • 1–09.9%
  • 2–19.5%
  • 2–07.7%
  • 0–16.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Leyton Orient get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

54%Possession56%
34%Territory32%
38%From set plays12%
0.08Chance quality0.09
3.8%Directness6.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Leyton Orient, 3 for Blackpool. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 72 matches, not the full season.