League One · Matchweek 10
Bradford City
BRA
Leyton Orient
LEY
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Bradford51%
Draw28%
Leyton Orient21%
Expected goals
1.47 – 0.87
Over 2.5
41%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.6%
- 1–112.3%
- 0–010.7%
- 2–010.0%
- 2–19.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
53%Possession54%
41%Territory34%
28%From set plays38%
0.10Chance quality0.08
6.7%Directness3.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Bradford, 3 for Leyton Orient. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 72 matches, not the full season.