League One · Matchweek 9
Oxford United
OXF
Stockport County
STO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Oxford Utd29%
Draw25%
Stockport County46%
Expected goals
1.37 – 1.73
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.9%
- 1–29.2%
- 0–18.3%
- 2–17.1%
- 0–26.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Stockport County get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
54%Possession54%
32%Territory31%
12%From set plays36%
0.18Chance quality0.12
5.5%Directness4.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Oxford Utd, 3 for Stockport County. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 72 matches, not the full season.