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League One · Matchweek 7

Leyton Orient

LEY

Stevenage

STE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Leyton Orient35%
Draw30%
Stevenage35%

Expected goals

1.19 – 1.20

Over 2.5

42%

Both to score

50%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1113.2%
  • 0111.2%
  • 1011.0%
  • 0010.5%
  • 127.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Leyton Orient will have the ball; Stevenage will not mind.

54%Possession38%
34%Territory37%
38%From set plays24%
0.08Chance quality0.13
3.8%Directness9.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Leyton Orient, 3 for Stevenage. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 72 matches, not the full season.