League One · Matchweek 7
Blackpool
BLA
Plymouth Argyle
PLY
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Blackpool30%
Draw25%
Plymouth45%
Expected goals
1.36 – 1.69
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.1%
- 1–29.2%
- 0–18.5%
- 2–17.2%
- 1–06.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Blackpool will have the ball; Plymouth will not mind.
56%Possession39%
32%Territory44%
12%From set plays31%
0.09Chance quality0.12
6.0%Directness9.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Blackpool, 3 for Plymouth. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 72 matches, not the full season.