Championship · Matchweek 13
Wolverhampton Wanderers
WOL
Cardiff City
CAR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Wolves52%
Draw24%
Cardiff24%
Expected goals
1.88 – 1.27
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.4%
- 2–19.7%
- 1–08.6%
- 2–07.5%
- 1–26.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
55%Possession65%
30%Territory45%
21%From set plays15%
0.17Chance quality0.10
6.4%Directness6.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Wolves, 4 for Cardiff. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.