Championship · Matchweek 10
Portsmouth
POR
Sheffield United
SHU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Portsmouth45%
Draw28%
Sheff Utd28%
Expected goals
1.48 – 1.12
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 1–011.4%
- 2–19.1%
- 0–08.5%
- 0–18.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
44%Possession40%
40%Territory38%
23%From set plays26%
0.09Chance quality0.09
8.4%Directness6.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Portsmouth, 3 for Sheff Utd. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.