Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 10
Lommel
LOM
Gent
GEN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lommel29%
Draw29%
Gent42%
Expected goals
1.09 – 1.34
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.0%
- 0–112.1%
- 0–010.0%
- 1–09.6%
- 1–28.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
48%Possession42%
28%Territory32%
24%From set plays36%
0.09Chance quality0.10
5.9%Directness8.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Lommel, 4 for Gent. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.