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Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 9

Gent

GEN

Anderlecht

AND

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Gent45%
Draw30%
Anderlecht25%

Expected goals

1.28 – 0.90

Over 2.5

37%

Both to score

44%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1014.7%
  • 1113.1%
  • 0012.5%
  • 0110.0%
  • 208.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Anderlecht will have the ball; Gent will not mind.

42%Possession58%
32%Territory47%
36%From set plays19%
0.10Chance quality0.09
8.0%Directness3.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Gent, 4 for Anderlecht.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.