Swiss Super League · Matchweek 22
Lausanne
LAU
Luzern
LUZ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lausanne40%
Draw26%
Luzern34%
Expected goals
1.54 – 1.42
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.6%
- 2–18.6%
- 1–08.4%
- 1–27.9%
- 0–17.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
42%Possession53%
40%Territory39%
33%From set plays31%
0.14Chance quality0.09
7.8%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Lausanne, 2 for Luzern. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 12 of 72 matches, not the full season.