Swiss Super League · Matchweek 22
Lausanne
LAU
Luzern
LUZ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lausanne38%
Draw30%
Luzern32%
Expected goals
1.25 – 1.14
Over 2.5
42%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.2%
- 1–011.7%
- 0–110.5%
- 0–010.5%
- 2–18.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
50%Possession43%
39%Territory37%
28%From set plays34%
0.09Chance quality0.13
7.9%Directness7.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Lausanne, 4 for Luzern.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 48 matches, not the full season.