Swiss Super League · Matchweek 21
Luzern
LUZ
FC Zürich
FCZ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Luzern38%
Draw25%
FC Zürich37%
Expected goals
1.65 – 1.62
Over 2.5
62%
Both to score
66%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.5%
- 2–18.3%
- 1–28.1%
- 2–26.9%
- 1–06.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
53%Possession47%
39%Territory39%
31%From set plays25%
0.09Chance quality0.17
6.0%Directness7.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Luzern, 2 for FC Zürich. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 12 of 72 matches, not the full season.