Swiss Super League · Matchweek 21
Luzern
LUZ
FC Zürich
FCZ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Luzern44%
Draw27%
FC Zürich29%
Expected goals
1.52 – 1.20
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 1–010.4%
- 2–19.1%
- 0–18.0%
- 0–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
43%Possession46%
37%Territory37%
34%From set plays32%
0.13Chance quality0.11
7.6%Directness7.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Luzern, 4 for FC Zürich.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Luzern
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 48 matches, not the full season.