Swiss Super League · Matchweek 20
FC Vaduz
FCV
Luzern
LUZ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
FC Vaduz43%
Draw26%
Luzern31%
Expected goals
1.56 – 1.32
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 1–09.2%
- 2–19.0%
- 0–17.6%
- 1–27.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
63%Possession53%
37%Territory39%
54%From set plays31%
0.08Chance quality0.09
4.7%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for FC Vaduz, 2 for Luzern. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 12 of 72 matches, not the full season.