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Swiss Super League · Matchweek 20

FC Vaduz

FCV

Luzern

LUZ

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

FC Vaduz44%
Draw27%
Luzern29%

Expected goals

1.51 – 1.22

Over 2.5

51%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.2%
  • 1010.3%
  • 219.1%
  • 018.1%
  • 007.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

FC Vaduz will have the ball; Luzern will not mind.

58%Possession43%
32%Territory37%
16%From set plays34%
0.12Chance quality0.13
5.5%Directness7.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for FC Vaduz, 4 for Luzern.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 48 matches, not the full season.