Swiss Super League · Matchweek 19
Luzern
LUZ
St. Gallen
STG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Luzern40%
Draw28%
St. Gallen33%
Expected goals
1.40 – 1.26
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.5%
- 1–010.2%
- 0–19.0%
- 2–18.6%
- 0–08.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
St. Gallen will have the ball; Luzern will not mind.
43%Possession54%
37%Territory46%
34%From set plays29%
0.13Chance quality0.09
7.6%Directness6.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Luzern, 5 for St. Gallen.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Luzern
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 48 matches, not the full season.