Swiss Super League · Matchweek 19
Luzern
LUZ
St. Gallen
STG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Luzern37%
Draw28%
St. Gallen35%
Expected goals
1.35 – 1.30
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.6%
- 1–09.9%
- 0–19.5%
- 0–08.3%
- 2–18.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
53%Possession41%
39%Territory35%
31%From set plays31%
0.09Chance quality0.11
6.0%Directness7.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Luzern, 2 for St. Gallen. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 12 of 72 matches, not the full season.