Swiss Super League · Matchweek 18
Grasshopper
GRA
Luzern
LUZ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Grasshopper45%
Draw26%
Luzern29%
Expected goals
1.62 – 1.30
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 1–09.2%
- 2–19.2%
- 0–17.2%
- 1–27.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
43%Possession43%
46%Territory37%
26%From set plays34%
0.15Chance quality0.13
7.6%Directness7.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 5 for Grasshopper, 4 for Luzern.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 48 matches, not the full season.