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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Swiss Super League · Matchweek 18

Grasshopper

GRA

Luzern

LUZ

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Grasshopper46%
Draw26%
Luzern28%

Expected goals

1.61 – 1.23

Over 2.5

53%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.7%
  • 1–09.9%
  • 2–19.3%
  • 0–17.3%
  • 2–07.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

41%Possession53%
34%Territory39%
50%From set plays31%
0.11Chance quality0.09
5.6%Directness6.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Grasshopper, 2 for Luzern. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 12 of 72 matches, not the full season.