Swiss Super League · Matchweek 16
Thun
THU
Luzern
LUZ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Thun40%
Draw27%
Luzern33%
Expected goals
1.49 – 1.33
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 1–09.3%
- 2–18.7%
- 0–18.2%
- 1–27.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Thun will have the ball; Luzern will not mind.
52%Possession43%
41%Territory37%
27%From set plays34%
0.12Chance quality0.13
8.4%Directness7.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 5 for Thun, 4 for Luzern.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 48 matches, not the full season.