Swiss Super League · Matchweek 16
Thun
THU
Luzern
LUZ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Thun51%
Draw23%
Luzern26%
Expected goals
1.95 – 1.38
Over 2.5
63%
Both to score
65%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.9%
- 2–19.4%
- 1–07.5%
- 2–06.7%
- 2–26.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
55%Possession53%
40%Territory39%
45%From set plays31%
0.14Chance quality0.09
8.9%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Thun, 2 for Luzern. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 12 of 72 matches, not the full season.