Swiss Super League · Matchweek 15
Luzern
LUZ
Lugano
LUG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Luzern35%
Draw28%
Lugano36%
Expected goals
1.29 – 1.31
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 0–110.1%
- 1–09.9%
- 0–08.7%
- 1–28.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Lugano will have the ball; Luzern will not mind.
43%Possession54%
37%Territory37%
34%From set plays20%
0.13Chance quality0.10
7.6%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Luzern, 5 for Lugano.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Luzern
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 48 matches, not the full season.