Swiss Super League · Matchweek 14
Basel
BAS
Luzern
LUZ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Basel42%
Draw28%
Luzern31%
Expected goals
1.44 – 1.22
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 1–010.5%
- 2–18.8%
- 0–18.7%
- 0–08.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Luzern get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
49%Possession43%
40%Territory37%
7%From set plays34%
0.10Chance quality0.13
5.7%Directness7.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Basel, 4 for Luzern.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 48 matches, not the full season.