Swiss Super League · Matchweek 13
Luzern
LUZ
Young Boys
YOU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Luzern36%
Draw25%
Young Boys39%
Expected goals
1.54 – 1.60
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.0%
- 1–28.4%
- 2–18.1%
- 0–17.4%
- 1–07.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
53%Possession54%
39%Territory42%
31%From set plays41%
0.09Chance quality0.12
6.0%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Luzern, 2 for Young Boys. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 12 of 72 matches, not the full season.