Swiss Super League · Matchweek 12
Lausanne
LAU
Thun
THU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lausanne40%
Draw29%
Thun31%
Expected goals
1.31 – 1.12
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.0%
- 1–011.8%
- 0–010.1%
- 0–19.9%
- 2–18.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
50%Possession52%
39%Territory41%
28%From set plays27%
0.09Chance quality0.12
7.9%Directness8.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Lausanne, 5 for Thun.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 48 matches, not the full season.