Swiss Super League · Matchweek 11
FC Zürich
FCZ
Luzern
LUZ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
FC Zürich40%
Draw28%
Luzern32%
Expected goals
1.43 – 1.28
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 1–09.9%
- 0–18.7%
- 2–18.6%
- 0–07.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
46%Possession43%
37%Territory37%
32%From set plays34%
0.11Chance quality0.13
7.7%Directness7.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for FC Zürich, 4 for Luzern.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 48 matches, not the full season.