Swiss Super League · Matchweek 10
Lugano
LUG
Luzern
LUZ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lugano48%
Draw27%
Luzern25%
Expected goals
1.56 – 1.08
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 1–011.6%
- 2–19.4%
- 2–08.3%
- 0–08.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Lugano will have the ball; Luzern will not mind.
54%Possession43%
37%Territory37%
20%From set plays34%
0.10Chance quality0.13
5.9%Directness7.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 5 for Lugano, 4 for Luzern.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 48 matches, not the full season.