Swiss Super League · Matchweek 9
Luzern
LUZ
Grasshopper
GRA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Luzern41%
Draw26%
Grasshopper33%
Expected goals
1.55 – 1.36
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 1–08.9%
- 2–18.8%
- 0–17.7%
- 1–27.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
43%Possession43%
37%Territory46%
34%From set plays26%
0.13Chance quality0.15
7.6%Directness7.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Luzern, 5 for Grasshopper.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Luzern
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 48 matches, not the full season.