Ligue 2 · Matchweek 25
Nancy
NAC
Pau
PAU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Nancy42%
Draw27%
Pau31%
Expected goals
1.53 – 1.29
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 1–09.6%
- 2–19.0%
- 0–17.9%
- 1–27.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
53%Possession45%
37%Territory33%
15%From set plays24%
0.10Chance quality0.15
6.3%Directness7.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Nancy, 3 for Pau. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Nancy
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 97 matches, not the full season.