Ligue 2 · Matchweek 24
Pau
PAU
Clermont Foot
CLE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Pau58%
Draw23%
Clermont Foot19%
Expected goals
1.89 – 1.02
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–010.8%
- 1–110.5%
- 2–110.0%
- 2–09.6%
- 3–16.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
45%Possession52%
33%Territory38%
24%From set plays13%
0.15Chance quality0.11
7.8%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Pau, 3 for Clermont Foot. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Clermont Foot
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 22 of 97 matches, not the full season.