Ligue 2 · Matchweek 22
Pau
PAU
Red Star
RED
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Pau36%
Draw25%
Red Star39%
Expected goals
1.54 – 1.61
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
64%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.9%
- 1–28.5%
- 2–18.0%
- 0–17.4%
- 1–07.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Red Star will have the ball; Pau will not mind.
41%Possession52%
27%Territory33%
34%From set plays17%
0.13Chance quality0.15
8.1%Directness3.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Pau, 3 for Red Star. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.