Ligue 2 · Matchweek 20
Sochaux
SOC
Pau
PAU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sochaux31%
Draw26%
Pau43%
Expected goals
1.31 – 1.57
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 0–19.3%
- 1–29.0%
- 1–07.5%
- 2–17.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Pau get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
43%Possession41%
29%Territory27%
12%From set plays34%
0.11Chance quality0.13
6.1%Directness8.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sochaux, 3 for Pau. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Sochaux
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.