Ligue 2 · Matchweek 19
Pau
PAU
Metz
MET
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Pau56%
Draw22%
Metz23%
Expected goals
2.16 – 1.36
Over 2.5
67%
Both to score
66%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.4%
- 1–18.9%
- 1–07.0%
- 2–06.9%
- 3–16.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Metz will have the ball; Pau will not mind.
45%Possession58%
33%Territory39%
24%From set plays20%
0.15Chance quality0.11
7.8%Directness8.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Pau, 4 for Metz. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 22 of 97 matches, not the full season.