Ligue 2 · Matchweek 19
Pau
PAU
Metz
MET
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Pau55%
Draw23%
Metz23%
Expected goals
2.02 – 1.27
Over 2.5
63%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.7%
- 2–19.7%
- 1–08.1%
- 2–07.5%
- 3–16.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Metz will have the ball; Pau will not mind.
41%Possession52%
27%Territory29%
34%From set plays24%
0.13Chance quality0.10
8.1%Directness9.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Pau, 3 for Metz. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.