Ligue 2 · Matchweek 18
Laval
LAV
Pau
PAU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Laval32%
Draw24%
Pau44%
Expected goals
1.57 – 1.83
Over 2.5
65%
Both to score
67%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.9%
- 1–28.8%
- 2–17.3%
- 2–27.0%
- 0–16.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Laval will have the ball; Pau will not mind.
60%Possession41%
44%Territory27%
31%From set plays34%
0.09Chance quality0.13
5.7%Directness8.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Laval, 3 for Pau. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.