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Ligue 2 · Matchweek 18

Laval

LAV

Pau

PAU

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Laval39%
Draw26%
Pau35%

Expected goals

1.57 – 1.47

Over 2.5

57%

Both to score

62%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.3%
  • 2–18.6%
  • 1–28.0%
  • 1–07.9%
  • 0–17.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Laval will have the ball; Pau will not mind.

59%Possession45%
39%Territory33%
46%From set plays24%
0.14Chance quality0.15
5.4%Directness7.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Laval, 3 for Pau. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 22 of 97 matches, not the full season.