Ligue 2 · Matchweek 16
Clermont Foot
CLE
Pau
PAU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Clermont Foot35%
Draw28%
Pau36%
Expected goals
1.29 – 1.30
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 0–110.0%
- 1–09.9%
- 0–08.7%
- 1–28.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Clermont Foot will have the ball; Pau will not mind.
60%Possession41%
29%Territory27%
14%From set plays34%
0.09Chance quality0.13
4.6%Directness8.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Clermont Foot, 3 for Pau. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.