Ligue 2 · Matchweek 16
Clermont Foot
CLE
Pau
PAU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Clermont Foot28%
Draw26%
Pau46%
Expected goals
1.22 – 1.59
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 0–110.1%
- 1–29.3%
- 1–07.5%
- 0–27.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
52%Possession45%
38%Territory33%
13%From set plays24%
0.11Chance quality0.15
5.4%Directness7.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Clermont Foot, 3 for Pau. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Clermont Foot
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 22 of 97 matches, not the full season.