Ligue 2 · Matchweek 15
Pau
PAU
Saint-Étienne
SAI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Pau31%
Draw26%
Saint-Étienne43%
Expected goals
1.31 – 1.58
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 0–19.3%
- 1–29.0%
- 1–07.5%
- 2–17.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Saint-Étienne will have the ball; Pau will not mind.
45%Possession57%
33%Territory44%
24%From set plays30%
0.15Chance quality0.08
7.8%Directness3.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Pau, 3 for Saint-Étienne. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 22 of 97 matches, not the full season.