Ligue 2 · Matchweek 13
Red Star
RED
Pau
PAU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Red Star41%
Draw27%
Pau32%
Expected goals
1.50 – 1.30
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 1–09.5%
- 2–18.8%
- 0–18.1%
- 1–27.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Red Star will have the ball; Pau will not mind.
55%Possession45%
38%Territory33%
20%From set plays24%
0.10Chance quality0.15
5.5%Directness7.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Red Star, 3 for Pau. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 99 matches, not the full season.