Ligue 2 · Matchweek 13
Red Star
RED
Pau
PAU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Red Star52%
Draw23%
Pau24%
Expected goals
1.92 – 1.29
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.2%
- 2–19.6%
- 1–08.3%
- 2–07.3%
- 2–26.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Red Star will have the ball; Pau will not mind.
52%Possession41%
33%Territory27%
17%From set plays34%
0.15Chance quality0.13
3.6%Directness8.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Red Star, 3 for Pau. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.