Ligue 2 · Matchweek 12
Pau
PAU
Nantes
NAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Pau54%
Draw23%
Nantes23%
Expected goals
1.95 – 1.25
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.1%
- 2–19.7%
- 1–08.5%
- 2–07.6%
- 3–16.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nantes will have the ball; Pau will not mind.
41%Possession58%
27%Territory43%
34%From set plays26%
0.13Chance quality0.09
8.1%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Pau, 3 for Nantes. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.