Ligue 2 · Matchweek 10
Pau
PAU
Grenoble
GRE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Pau54%
Draw24%
Grenoble22%
Expected goals
1.80 – 1.11
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.0%
- 1–010.4%
- 2–19.8%
- 2–08.7%
- 0–06.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Pau get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
41%Possession40%
27%Territory27%
34%From set plays6%
0.13Chance quality0.11
8.1%Directness10.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Pau, 3 for Grenoble. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.