Ligue 2 · Matchweek 8
Pau
PAU
Laval
LAV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Pau57%
Draw21%
Laval21%
Expected goals
2.19 – 1.31
Over 2.5
67%
Both to score
65%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.5%
- 1–18.8%
- 2–07.3%
- 1–07.2%
- 3–16.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Laval will have the ball; Pau will not mind.
41%Possession60%
27%Territory44%
34%From set plays31%
0.13Chance quality0.09
8.1%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Pau, 3 for Laval. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.