Premier League · Matchweek 24
Brighton & Hove Albion
BHA
Hull City
HUL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Brighton64%
Draw22%
Hull14%
Expected goals
1.96 – 0.84
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.5%
- 2–011.6%
- 1–19.9%
- 2–19.8%
- 3–07.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Brighton will have the ball; Hull will not mind.
53%Possession35%
35%Territory29%
40%From set plays38%
0.11Chance quality0.08
7.2%Directness7.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Brighton, 3 for Hull. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Brighton
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.