Premier League · Matchweek 23
AFC Bournemouth
AFC
Fulham
FUL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Bournemouth53%
Draw25%
Fulham22%
Expected goals
1.72 – 1.05
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.4%
- 1–011.3%
- 2–19.8%
- 2–09.0%
- 0–07.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Fulham will have the ball; Bournemouth will not mind.
49%Possession65%
39%Territory39%
10%From set plays25%
0.16Chance quality0.09
5.4%Directness3.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Bournemouth, 3 for Fulham. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.