Premier League · Matchweek 22
Brighton & Hove Albion
BHA
Manchester City
MCI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Brighton37%
Draw26%
Man City37%
Expected goals
1.54 – 1.52
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 2–18.3%
- 1–28.2%
- 1–07.6%
- 0–17.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Man City will have the ball; Brighton will not mind.
53%Possession65%
35%Territory49%
40%From set plays20%
0.11Chance quality0.12
7.2%Directness3.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Brighton, 3 for Man City. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Brighton
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.