Premier League · Matchweek 21
Newcastle United
NEW
Fulham
FUL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Newcastle38%
Draw28%
Fulham33%
Expected goals
1.36 – 1.26
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.6%
- 1–010.3%
- 0–19.4%
- 0–08.5%
- 2–18.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Fulham will have the ball; Newcastle will not mind.
55%Possession65%
46%Territory39%
16%From set plays25%
0.09Chance quality0.09
4.9%Directness3.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Newcastle, 3 for Fulham. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.