Premier League · Matchweek 20
Fulham
FUL
Tottenham Hotspur
TOT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Fulham37%
Draw32%
Tottenham31%
Expected goals
1.14 – 1.03
Over 2.5
37%
Both to score
45%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.5%
- 1–013.1%
- 0–012.9%
- 0–111.7%
- 2–17.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
65%Possession71%
39%Territory52%
25%From set plays29%
0.09Chance quality0.07
3.6%Directness2.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Fulham, 3 for Tottenham. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.