Premier League · Matchweek 20
Brighton & Hove Albion
BHA
AFC Bournemouth
AFC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Brighton48%
Draw24%
Bournemouth29%
Expected goals
1.90 – 1.46
Over 2.5
64%
Both to score
66%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.9%
- 2–19.2%
- 1–07.1%
- 1–26.8%
- 2–26.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Brighton will have the ball; Bournemouth will not mind.
70%Possession53%
44%Territory41%
29%From set plays30%
0.11Chance quality0.10
4.6%Directness5.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Brighton, 3 for Bournemouth. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Brighton
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.