Club Football Intelligence

Premier League · Matchweek 19

Sat, 2 Jan, 15:00 UTC

Nottingham Forest

NFO

15:00 UTC

Fulham

FUL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Nottm Forest38%

Draw31%

Fulham31%

Expected goals

1.17 – 1.04

Over 2.5

38%

Both to score

46%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

1–113.4%
1–013.0%
0–012.4%
0–111.3%
2–17.8%

How they playPossession, press, how they create

Fulham will have the ball; Nottm Forest will not mind.

45%Possession65%

34%Territory39%

30%From set plays25%

0.09Chance quality0.09

7.8%Directness3.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Nottm Forest, 3 for Fulham. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Nottm Forest

Daniel MuñozMF0G 1A 0.40/90
Neco WilliamsDF1G 0A 0.34/90

Fulham

Sander BergeMF0G 1A 0.43/90
Oscar BobbFW1G 0A 0.38/90
Joshua KingMF0G 1A 0.38/90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.