Premier League · Matchweek 19
Nottingham Forest
NFO
Fulham
FUL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Nottm Forest47%
Draw27%
Fulham27%
Expected goals
1.57 – 1.15
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 1–010.8%
- 2–19.3%
- 2–07.7%
- 0–17.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Fulham will have the ball; Nottm Forest will not mind.
39%Possession56%
36%Territory39%
19%From set plays22%
0.12Chance quality0.09
7.8%Directness3.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Nottm Forest, 3 for Fulham. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.