Premier League · Matchweek 19
Brighton & Hove Albion
BHA
Manchester United
MUN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Brighton43%
Draw24%
Man United33%
Expected goals
1.85 – 1.61
Over 2.5
66%
Both to score
68%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.7%
- 2–18.6%
- 1–27.4%
- 2–27.0%
- 1–06.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Brighton will have the ball; Man United will not mind.
70%Possession57%
44%Territory48%
29%From set plays11%
0.11Chance quality0.09
4.6%Directness3.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Brighton, 3 for Man United. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Brighton
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.