Premier League · Matchweek 18
Tottenham Hotspur
TOT
Brighton & Hove Albion
BHA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Tottenham35%
Draw30%
Brighton35%
Expected goals
1.20 – 1.21
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.2%
- 0–111.0%
- 1–010.9%
- 0–010.3%
- 1–27.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Tottenham will have the ball; Brighton will not mind.
71%Possession53%
52%Territory35%
29%From set plays40%
0.07Chance quality0.11
2.6%Directness7.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Tottenham, 3 for Brighton. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.