Premier League · Matchweek 18
Tottenham Hotspur
TOT
Brighton & Hove Albion
BHA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Tottenham29%
Draw27%
Brighton44%
Expected goals
1.17 – 1.50
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 0–110.8%
- 1–29.1%
- 1–08.2%
- 0–08.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Brighton will have the ball; Tottenham will not mind.
60%Possession70%
48%Territory44%
40%From set plays29%
0.07Chance quality0.11
3.9%Directness4.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Tottenham, 3 for Brighton. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Tottenham
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.