Premier League · Matchweek 16
Leeds United
LEE
Fulham
FUL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Leeds49%
Draw25%
Fulham25%
Expected goals
1.73 – 1.21
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.2%
- 1–09.7%
- 2–19.6%
- 2–07.7%
- 0–16.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Fulham will have the ball; Leeds will not mind.
43%Possession56%
31%Territory39%
30%From set plays22%
0.17Chance quality0.09
5.9%Directness3.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Leeds, 3 for Fulham. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.