Premier League · Matchweek 16
Leeds United
LEE
Fulham
FUL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Leeds37%
Draw31%
Fulham32%
Expected goals
1.15 – 1.06
Over 2.5
38%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.5%
- 1–012.7%
- 0–012.4%
- 0–111.6%
- 2–17.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Fulham will have the ball; Leeds will not mind.
56%Possession65%
34%Territory39%
42%From set plays25%
0.09Chance quality0.09
6.2%Directness3.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Leeds, 3 for Fulham. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.