Skip to content
Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

Premier League · Matchweek 16

Brighton & Hove Albion

BHA

Ipswich Town

IPS

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Brighton69%
Draw18%
Ipswich13%

Expected goals

2.35 – 0.98

Over 2.5

64%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

-1.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–010.0%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 1–09.0%
  • 1–18.2%
  • 3–17.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Brighton get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

53%Possession47%
35%Territory35%
40%From set plays21%
0.11Chance quality0.12
7.2%Directness4.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Brighton, 3 for Ipswich. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.