Premier League · Matchweek 16
Brighton & Hove Albion
BHA
Ipswich Town
IPS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Brighton63%
Draw20%
Ipswich17%
Expected goals
2.35 – 1.22
Over 2.5
68%
Both to score
64%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.6%
- 1–18.2%
- 2–08.0%
- 3–17.4%
- 1–07.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Brighton will have the ball; Ipswich will not mind.
70%Possession46%
44%Territory38%
29%From set plays8%
0.11Chance quality0.14
4.6%Directness4.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Brighton, 3 for Ipswich. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Brighton
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.