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Premier League · Matchweek 15

Fulham

FUL

Brentford

BRE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Fulham42%
Draw29%
Brentford30%

Expected goals

1.37 – 1.13

Over 2.5

45%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.8%
  • 1–011.6%
  • 0–09.4%
  • 0–19.3%
  • 2–18.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Fulham will have the ball; Brentford will not mind.

65%Possession47%
39%Territory35%
25%From set plays27%
0.09Chance quality0.09
3.6%Directness6.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Fulham, 3 for Brentford. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.