Premier League · Matchweek 15
Fulham
FUL
Brentford
BRE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Fulham37%
Draw27%
Brentford36%
Expected goals
1.42 – 1.42
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 1–08.6%
- 0–18.6%
- 2–18.2%
- 1–28.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
56%Possession48%
39%Territory39%
22%From set plays33%
0.09Chance quality0.08
3.7%Directness4.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Fulham, 3 for Brentford. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.